Methodology: This Forex seasonal is synthesised from two underlying CME futures seasonal datasets. The GBPAUD directional bias is derived by combining the GBP/USD CME futures seasonal tendency (direct — GBP is the base currency) with the inverse of the AUD/USD CME futures seasonal tendency (AUD is the quote currency). Conviction is highest when both components align — October stands out as a clean, uncontested long window — while March, April, and May form an extraordinary three-month stretch in which both currencies repeatedly post maximum-conviction moves of their own years in directly opposing directions, the most genuinely two-sided window of the entire forex seasonal calendar.
Long Component (Direct)
GBP / USD
CME Futures · 40-Year · 15-YR · 5-YR
Short Component (Inverted)
AUD / USD
CME Futures · 34-Year · 15-YR · 5-YR
5-Year Combined
15-Year Combined
Long-Term Combined
Net Bias
Bullish
Bearish
Choppy / Mixed
Net Seasonal Bias — All Timeframes
Click any month row to expand week-by-week breakdown. Current month opens automatically.