Methodology: This Forex seasonal is synthesised from two underlying CME futures seasonal datasets. The EURGBP directional bias is derived by combining the EUR/USD CME futures seasonal tendency (direct — EUR is the base currency) with the inverse of the GBP/USD CME futures seasonal tendency (GBP is the quote currency). Conviction is highest when both components align — November and December form a textbook double-alignment bookend pair, each the single highest-conviction trade of the EURGBP year — while April is GBP's violent PEAK→SELL flip month and May pits both currencies' single highest-conviction moves of their own years directly against one another in a genuine coin-flip.
Long Component (Direct)
EUR / USD
CME Futures · 22-Year · 15-YR · 5-YR
Short Component (Inverted)
GBP / USD
CME Futures · 40-Year · 15-YR · 5-YR
5-Year Combined
15-Year Combined
Long-Term Combined
Net Bias
Bullish
Bearish
Choppy / Mixed
Net Seasonal Bias — All Timeframes
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