EUR/USD Seasonal Dashboard — Kaminari Precision Trading

Click any month to expand week-by-week breakdown. Current month opens automatically.

Month	Bias	Overview	Weekly Detail	Notes
January	BEAR	Peaks at ~100 on Jan 1 open — immediate sell. Collapses all month.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Sell Jan 1 open spike. Waterfall all month.
February	BEAR	Continuing waterfall from Jan collapse.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	Late Feb approaching trough with other TFs.
March	BULL	Bottoms Wk2 with all TFs. Recovery follows.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	Flip long Wk2 on trough confirmation.
April	CHOP	Volatile — rising then choppy. No clean edge on 5-YR alone.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ↑	Use 15-YR as guide in Apr. 5-YR unreliable.
May	BEAR	Peaks Wk1 then collapses. Short from Wk2 onward.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	5-YR peaks Wk1 May. Flip short Wk2 — confirms 22-YR collapse.
June	BULL	Spikes mid-Jun to ~80 — leads recovery. Strongest 5-YR Jun signal.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ~	5-YR Jun bounce is real — take the mid-Jun long.
July	BULL	Spikes early Jul ~80–85 then fades quickly.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	Wk1 only — long Jul Wk1, then stand aside.
August	CHOP	Extremely volatile 50–85. No seasonal edge.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	Stand aside Aug on 5-YR. Too noisy.
September	BEAR	Declining. Following 22-YR and 15-YR lower.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	Short Wk2–3. Late Sep possible base.
October	BEAR	Spikes early Oct ~85–90 then rolls over into Nov.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Take Wk1 bounce then flip short Wk2. Hold into Nov.
November	BEAR	Near 0–10 absolute annual lows. Maximum weakness.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	All TFs at annual lows. Late Nov watch for Dec recovery setup.
December	BULL	Recovering from Nov lows. Year-end EUR long.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	All-month recovery from Nov annual lows.

Month	Bias	Overview	Weekly Detail	Notes
January	BEAR	Declining from ~65. Full bear month.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Hold shorts all Jan.
February	BEAR	Lower ~30–35. Approaching trough.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	Late Feb near trough.
March	BULL	Bottoms with 22-YR. Recovery follows.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	Flip long Wk2–3 with trough confirmation.
April	BULL	Rising toward 75–80. Strongest uptrend of 15-YR cycle.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	15-YR in strong uptrend all Apr. High conviction long.
May	BEAR	PEAKS ~100 mid-May. Catastrophic reversal follows.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	15-YR peak ~100 Wk2 May — the key flip signal. Short hard.
June	CHOP	Low. Recovery attempt led by 5-YR.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	15-YR slow to recover in Jun. Follow 5-YR for entry.
July	CHOP	Choppy ~35–50. No clean bias.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	Stand aside on 15-YR in Jul.
August	CHOP	Mid-range volatile ~35–55. No edge.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	Avoid Aug on 15-YR.
September	BEAR	Declining toward 35–40. Sep weakness.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	Short Wk1–3. Late Sep stabilise.
October	BEAR	Rolling over Wk2 into Nov lows.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Brief Oct Wk1 stability then short Wk2–4.
November	BEAR	Absolute annual low. Maximum 15-YR weakness.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	All TFs at annual lows simultaneously. Short conviction.
December	BULL	Recovering toward ~40. Year-end EUR bounce.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	Long all Dec. Recovery from Nov lows.

Month	Bias	Overview	Weekly Detail	Notes
January	BEAR	Opens ~90 and declines sharply. Full bear month.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Structural decline all Jan. No long case.
February	BEAR	Continued decline toward ~35–40. Approaching trough.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Hold shorts. Trough building.
March	FLIP	All TFs trough Wk1–2 (~30–35) then sharp bounce to ~65.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	Close shorts Wk1. Flip long Wk2–3 on bounce confirmation.
April	CHOP	Flat/choppy mid-range ~45–65. No clean trend on 22-YR.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	22-YR gives no edge in Apr. Follow 15-YR for guidance.
May	BEAR	COLLAPSES to near absolute annual low ~5–10. Most bearish on 22-YR.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	22-YR in freefall Wk2–4. Maximum short conviction.
June	FLIP	Absolute annual trough early Jun then recovery begins.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ~	Close shorts early Jun. Flip long Wk2–3 on recovery.
July	CHOP	Recovering toward 50. Choppy overall.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	No clean 22-YR edge in Jul. Use 5-YR Wk1 spike only.
August	CHOP	Mid-range ~45–55. High noise. No edge.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	Lowest conviction month. Stand aside.
September	BEAR	Drops to secondary trough ~22–25. Sep seasonal weakness.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	22-YR Sep weakness confirmed. Short Wk1–3.
October	FLIP	Brief Wk1 bounce from Sep low. Then resumes decline into Nov.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Take Wk1 bounce — then flip short Wk2 hard into Nov annual lows.
November	BEAR	ABSOLUTE ANNUAL LOW — 22-YR, 15-YR, 5-YR all converge near 0–10.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	All TFs at annual lows simultaneously. Highest short conviction of year.
December	BULL	Strong recovery — surges from ~0 to ~75–80. Year-end EUR rally.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	All-month long. 22-YR reaches ~75–80 at year close.

Seasonal data source: Moore Research Center © 2020 · EuroFX (EUR/USD) CME · 22-Year Seasonal (1998–2019) · 15-Year · 5-Year overlays.
This analysis is based on historical seasonal tendencies only and does not constitute financial advice. Past seasonals do not guarantee future performance. © 2026 Kaminari Precision Trading. All rights reserved. · Dashboard interface design and analysis framework by Kaminari Precision Trading. Seasonal tendency data sourced from Moore Research Center.

EUR / USD