CAD/USD Seasonal Dashboard — Kaminari Precision Trading

Click any month to expand week-by-week breakdown. Current month opens automatically.

Month	Bias	Overview	Weekly Detail	Notes
January	BEAR	Spikes to ~95 at open then collapses immediately. Full waterfall.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Sell the Jan 1 spike. No longs.
February	BEAR	Continuing waterfall from Jan collapse.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	Late Feb stabilising — watch for early turn.
March	CHOP	Bottoms late Feb/early Mar. Recovery begins.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	5-YR trough and turn — early long signal.
April	BULL	Spikes sharply to ~85–90 mid-Apr. Strong rally.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ↓	Peak ~85–90 Wk2. Begin fading late Apr.
May	BEAR	Collapses from Apr peak to ~25–30 by month end.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Waterfall all month. Short from Apr peak.
June	BEAR	Near absolute trough ~25. Depressed all month.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	Late Jun possible base — watch for Jul turn.
July	BULL	Spikes sharply to ~90–95 early Jul. Powerful recovery.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ~	5-YR leads Jul recovery aggressively.
August	BULL	At or near peak ~90–95. Rolling Wk3–4.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ↓	Wk1–2 long, then 5-YR peaks and fades.
September	BEAR	5-YR already declining while 40-YR still rising.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	5-YR peaks before 40-YR — early warning to trim.
October	BEAR	Falling post-Sep. Broad decline.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Hold shorts from Sep flip.
November	BEAR	Low and falling toward Dec lows.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	Late Nov stabilising — approach Dec base.
December	CHOP	Near annual lows. Very late Dec upturn begins.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ↑	Wk4 only — early positioning for Jan cycle.

Month	Bias	Overview	Weekly Detail	Notes
January	BEAR	Declining from low start ~25–35. Broad weakness.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Low all month. Full bear.
February	BEAR	Grinding lower ~15–25. Continued seasonal weakness.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Near absolute low zone.
March	BEAR	Still weak but stabilising late Mar. Lagging 40-YR recovery.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	15-YR lags 40-YR in recovery timing.
April	BULL	Recovering — bouncing into mid-range alongside other TFs.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ~	Recovery confirmation — long bias.
May	BEAR	Peaking and rolling over with 40-YR mid-May.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Peak early May then waterfall.
June	BEAR	Low and declining. Depressed seasonal zone.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	Hold shorts. Late Jun possible turn.
July	BULL	Rising — bull recovery alongside 40-YR and 5-YR.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	All TFs recovering Jul — strong alignment.
August	BULL	Continuing higher toward Sep simultaneous peak.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	15-YR climbing to Sep peak alongside 40-YR.
September	BULL	Peaks ~100 simultaneously with 40-YR mid-Sep. Then collapses.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Peak mid-Sep — flip short on confirmation.
October	BEAR	Sharp decline post-Sep peak. Full waterfall.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Hold shorts. No bounce expected.
November	BEAR	Low and falling. Continued post-Sep decline.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	Late Nov stabilisation only.
December	CHOP	Near lows. Late stabilisation. No strong recovery yet.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ~ Wk4 ~	15-YR slow to turn — year-end base building.

Month	Bias	Overview	Weekly Detail	Notes
January	BEAR	Opens ~75 and declines all month. Broad seasonal bear.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	No long bias. Structural bear.
February	BEAR	Continuing lower toward ~50. Structural weakness.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	Late Feb base starting to form.
March	BULL	Recovery begins. 40-YR leads the turn — the first TF to recover.	Wk1 ~ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	40-YR leads recovery ahead of 5-YR and 15-YR.
April	BULL	Rising. Bull phase building into May.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	All-month long bias on 40-YR.
May	BEAR	Peaks mid-May (~85) then rolls over sharply. End of Q2 rally.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ~ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Peak Wk1–2 then waterfall Wk3–4.
June	BEAR	Declining. Seasonal trough zone building toward Jul bottom.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Hold shorts from May rollover.
July	BULL	Strong recovery. Rising from ~55 toward 70+. Leads Jul bull.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	40-YR in strong uptrend all Jul — high conviction long.
August	BULL	Continuing higher toward Sep absolute peak.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↑ Wk4 ↑	All-month long on 40-YR. Peak comes in Sep.
September	BULL	ABSOLUTE ANNUAL PEAK ~100 mid-Sep. Then full reversal.	Wk1 ↑ Wk2 ↑ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Peak mid-Sep. Flip short Wk2–3 — highest conviction signal.
October	BEAR	Sharp post-peak waterfall. Drops from 100 toward ~75.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	Full waterfall all month. Hold all shorts.
November	BEAR	Continued decline toward ~50. No recovery yet.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ↓	40-YR still falling. Dec base not yet in view.
December	BEAR	Near annual lows. Base forming only at very end of Dec.	Wk1 ↓ Wk2 ↓ Wk3 ↓ Wk4 ~	Late Dec Wk4 only — watch for very early Jan positioning.

Seasonal data source: Moore Research Center © 2020 · Canadian Dollar (CAD/USD) CME · 40-Year Seasonal (1980–2019) · 15-Year · 5-Year overlays.
This analysis is based on historical seasonal tendencies only and does not constitute financial advice. Past seasonals do not guarantee future performance. © 2026 Kaminari Precision Trading. All rights reserved. · Dashboard interface design and analysis framework by Kaminari Precision Trading. Seasonal tendency data sourced from Moore Research Center.

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